Line of Evidence

Free Saturday CFB sim sheet: 10,000-run win shares and score ranges.

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Line of Evidence is a free weekly email built around a Saturday college football sim sheet. Every game in our CFB Sim Lab slate is simulated 10,000 times, play by play, based on how the teams have actually played. Each row gives a sim win share, a median sim score, and the middle 80% margin range, and you can rerun any game yourself in the Sim Lab. Written in plain English, with the exact numbers for readers who want them. Simulated probabilities for research only. Not gambling or financial advice. Research only, no picks.

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